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NuSkin poised to Surprise?

February 2, 2010

We have written many times abut this exciting company and have very high hopes for it over the next three to five years. The company is currently meeting the growing global demand of aging Boomers who want to stay–or at least look–younger.

The company issued very positive guidance in November:

Google Finance:Nu Skin now projects fourth quarter revenue to be in the $360 to $365 million range, up from $343 to $348 million. The company is also increasing earnings per share guidance to be in the $0.37 to $0.39 range, including a planned $0.01 restructuring charge, up from $0.32 to $0.34.

"We are raising our guidance primarily due to a very successful prelaunch of our flagship ageLOC skin care system at our global distributor convention, as well as our anticipation that Japan will continue to see a small trend improvement in the fourth quarter," said Truman Hunt, Nu Skin president and chief executive officer. "Also, we expect a weaker dollar will benefit our results slightly more than we had anticipated. We look forward to providing more detail relating to the improving results of our business in our meeting with shareholders today."

"Based on the momentum we're generating in our business, we now expect annual revenue to be $1.313 to $1.318 billion," said Ritch Wood, Nu Skin chief financial officer. "Earnings per share for 2009 should be $1.30 to $1.32, including restructuring charges of approximately $0.13."

The company also announces 2010 annual revenue expectations of $1.37 to $1.4 billion with earnings per share of $1.60 to $1.70.

Consensus earnings expectations are for earnings for the fourth quarter 2009 of 0.41 cents and $1.45 for the full year. The consensus earnings for 2010 is $1.70, which places it on an undemanding P/E of 14.4 and a current P/S of 1.1. In the coming years we believe the surprises will remain on the upside for this stock.